Budgeting & Forecasting
A budget that was built on real assumptions — not last year's numbers plus ten percent.
◆ The Situation
Most small business budgets are built the same way: take last year's actuals, add a growth assumption, and produce a number that feels right. The resulting document is then ignored for eleven months and revisited in December to explain why things went differently than planned. It is not a planning tool. It is a compliance exercise that provides false confidence at the start of the year and false clarity at the end of it.
A real budget is a decision-making tool. It tells you whether the plan is financially viable before you've spent the year executing it. It identifies the assumptions that most influence the outcome. It gives you something to measure against monthly — not to grade yourself, but to detect when assumptions are wrong early enough to respond.
◆ The Complication
Building a financial model that functions as a real planning tool — with scenario sensitivity, cash flow projections tied to operational assumptions, and monthly variance analysis — requires both financial modelling skill and a clear understanding of how the specific business generates and consumes cash.
Most bookkeepers can record what happened. Most accountants can file what was recorded. Neither relationship is designed to build the forward-looking financial infrastructure a growing business needs.
◆ What We Do
We build your annual budget from the operational assumptions up — starting with how the business actually works, not with last year's numbers. We build in scenario analysis so you understand how sensitive the outcome is to key variables: revenue ramp, margin performance, cost timing, and working capital behaviour.
We build 13-week rolling cash flow projections tied to your specific payment and collection patterns. For businesses seeking financing, we build the financial projections that lenders and investors require — structured to the standard they expect and grounded in assumptions they can stress-test.
We design the monthly variance review process so the budget actually gets used through the year.
◆ What it looks like in practice
A $4M food distributor builds a proper budget for the first time and discovers her growth plan for the following year requires $380,000 of additional working capital the business cannot generate internally. The plan is viable. The financing gap just wasn't visible without the model. She approaches her bank with a properly structured request — supported by the financial model — eight months before she needs the capital. The facility is in place when growth requires it.
Every engagement starts with a diagnostic — a structured read of the business before any advice is given.
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