◆ Know Your Customers
Predictive Analytics
Which customers are leaving before they do — and what your best customers have in common so you can find more of them.
◆ The Situation
You can see which customers bought. You can't see which ones are drifting away before they leave. You can see your revenue total. You can't see which customer segments are responsible for most of it — or what they have in common. Every business that has transaction history is sitting on a predictive dataset they have never analysed.
◆ The Complication
Fortune 500 data science teams built customer churn models and demand forecasting infrastructure over years, at a cost that was never accessible to a $5M business. The platforms that run these models at scale are now priced in the hundreds of dollars per month, not millions. What has been missing is not the platform — it is the person who can configure it correctly for a specific business problem and interpret what it tells you.
◆ What We Do
We build predictive models on your transaction history. We identify which customers are showing early signs of leaving — declining order frequency, smaller basket size, longer gaps between purchases — before they actually go. We map what your top 20% of customers have in common, so you know who to find more of and where.
We forecast demand by product, location, or season. We identify what the next likely purchase is for each customer segment. The output is specific and expressed in business terms — not statistical output. Available as a standalone engagement for businesses with sufficient transaction history, or integrated into Strategy & Design work.
◆ What it looks like in practice
A restaurant with a loyalty app learns that customers who don't return within 45 days of their first visit rarely come back at all. An automated re-engagement message goes out at day 30 — before the pattern solidifies. Win-back rate: 22%. Cost of sending the message: negligible.
The intelligence is available. The question is whether anyone is pointing it at your problem.
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